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Jumat, 26 November 2010

MARKET TALK: USD/JPY May Rise To 87.00 In December - Dealer

0641 GMT [Dow Jones] USD/JPY may rise, possibly to 87.00 sometime in December on any further gains in U.S. Treasury yields, says Hideki Amikura, deputy general manager at Nomura Trust and Banking. "The main driver for further gains would be continued rises in Treasury yields, particularly in the short zone." Many investors watch spreads between short-dated U.S.-Japan government debt as indicator for direction to take on pair. Says continued tensions on Korean peninsula may also help USD/JPY. While both USD, JPY considered safe havens, investors likely to prefer USD to JPY given Japan's proximity to conflict. "The tensions will probably continue to prompt some global investors to consider trimming their yen holdings further." U.S., South Korea to commence 4-day joint naval exercise in Yellow Sea on Sunday, following North Korea's shelling of South Korean island there earlier this week. USD/JPY last at 83.86 after hitting fresh near 8-week high at 83.92.(andrew.monahan@dowjones.com)

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Kamis, 25 November 2010

Seputar Nakamura dengan JPY nya

MARKET TALK: JPY Crosses Down; EUR/JPY Targets 110.50 - Dealer

0216 GMT [Dow Jones] JPY crosses down further, dragged in part by weakness in NZD, AUD, as risk-sensitive units remain under pressure amid continued concern over tensions on Korean peninsula; EUR/JPY could fall to 110.50 later in global day, says Hideaki Inoue, senior FX dealer at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking. EUR/JPY marks fresh intraday low at 111.02, last 111.25. EUR/USD also hits fresh intraday low at 1.3307, last 1.3330. But adds despite euro-zone sovereign debt concerns, relatively stable European economic indicators suggest that recent EUR-selling may be overdone. "Certain European indicators have just refused to go down." Data overnight showed Germany's Ifo business climate index rose in November to its highest since Germany's reunification. Says as long as indicators in euro-zone remain mixed, "I'm skeptical that we'd see euro-dollar falling to $1.3000," despite some players' view pair could break that psychologically key level in coming weeks. (andrew.monahan@dowjones.com)
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MARKET TALK: JPY Crosses Down; EUR/JPY Targets 110.50 - Dealer

0216 GMT [Dow Jones] JPY crosses down further, dragged in part by weakness in NZD, AUD, as risk-sensitive units remain under pressure amid continued concern over tensions on Korean peninsula; EUR/JPY could fall to 110.50 later in global day, says Hideaki Inoue, senior FX dealer at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking. EUR/JPY marks fresh intraday low at 111.02, last 111.25. EUR/USD also hits fresh intraday low at 1.3307, last 1.3330. But adds despite euro-zone sovereign debt concerns, relatively stable European economic indicators suggest that recent EUR-selling may be overdone. "Certain European indicators have just refused to go down." Data overnight showed Germany's Ifo business climate index rose in November to its highest since Germany's reunification. Says as long as indicators in euro-zone remain mixed, "I'm skeptical that we'd see euro-dollar falling to $1.3000," despite some players' view pair could break that psychologically key level in coming weeks. (andrew.monahan@dowjones.com)
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BOJ Nakamura: Recent Yen Rise May Push Down Prices In Japan

MARKET TALK: Gold Volatile; Large Offers At $1,377 - MKS

0205 GMT [Dow Jones] Gold on a sticky wicket Thursday with volatile price action in thin market with U.S. closed for Thanksgiving holiday tonight. Spot gold at $1,371.80/oz, down 80 cents after trading as high as $1,382.50 overnight. MKS Finance says "very large offers" at $1,377 preventing any sustained advance. Hard to see gold breaking out today with political tension on Korean peninsula turning into background factor, regional equity markets mixed. Euro-zone debt issues still most likely driver with EUR/USD struggling at 1.3317 only just above overnight low of 1.3282. "We believe sovereign credit risk in Europe, combined with the physical market should see gold in euro-terms outperform gold in dollar-terms for the time being," says Standard Bank. Gold in EUR at EUR1028.35/oz, down EUR1.70, but has gained 4% this week vs spot gold gain of 1.3%.(james.campbell@dowjones.com)
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Selasa, 23 November 2010

DATA SNAP: UK BBA Oct Net Mortgage Lending Growth +GBP1.7B

LONDON (Dow Jones)--Net mortgage lending by U.K. banks grew at a slightly faster pace in October than a month earlier, but the outlook continues to deteriorate as mortgage approvals eased yet again and to a 19-month low, data from the British Bankers Association showed Tuesday.

The figures also showed that non-financial firms continued to repay bank debt, with net lending to them staying negative in October.

Seasonally adjusted net mortgage lending grew GBP1.7 billion in October. While that was above a revised GBP1.5 billion rise in September, it was much weaker than the GBP3.0 billion increase of the corresponding month a year earlier.

The BBA originally reported that net mortgage lending grew GBP1.6 billion in September.

Despite October's modest improvement in net lending, the outlook is subdued. Mortgage approvals--a reliable forward looking indicator of housing market activity and prices--eased again, totalling just 30,766 in October. That is the lowest total since March 2009 and compares with 31,058 in September and 42,076 in October 2009.

"Activity in the mortgage and consumer credit markets continued to be subdued in October, reflecting uncertain prospects for households and lower consumer confidence," said David Dooks, statistics director for the BBA.

Non-financial firms again paid down debt in October, but by the smaller amount of a net GBP0.1 billion in October compared with a repayment of GBP3.3 billion in September. The BBA said the continued contraction in lending reflected firms' repayment plans and rebalancing of balance sheets, rather than any continuation of tight credit conditions.

"Credit availability for viable businesses has improved, so a continued contraction in net lending growth reflects repayment behaviour, particularly by larger companies," Dooks said.


-By Ilona Billington, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 20 7842 9452; ilona.billington@dowjones.com

USD Slips Back, CHF Remains In Demand - Trader

0810 GMT The dollar is giving back some of its sharp gains seen on the initial headlines of shelling between North and South Korea, however CHF remains in demand as a safety play, says a trader. EUR/USD now trades at 1.3585 from a low of 1.3526, GBP/USD is up half a cent at 1.5945, and USD/JPY has slipped to 83.64 from a seven week high of 83.85. EUR/CHF trades at 1.3415 from 1.3381, while USD/CHF trades in the middle of the day's 0.9908-0.9892 range. ( dowjones news)